Low Value Sports Bets You Should Avoid
Most people think about sports betting and equate it with winning. As you probably already know by now, we think a little differently. For us, it’s not about winning, but about finding value. Whenever you bet, you need to be certain that it’s of adequate value, otherwise you’ll end up losing your bank roll. Many punters are betting with low value sports bets with more riding on the punt, than they can possibly earn if it comes through. That’s low value right there. If you win, then you get back your wager plus a tiny bit extra. And if you lose, then you lose it all. See the problem here? Let’s have a look at some classic low value bets that you should always avoid.
Introduction: Low Value Sports Bets to Avoid
Many beginner bettors think that all they have to do is follow the crowd. After all, if everyone and their dog are betting on the favorite, then it means that everyone is sure that they’ll win. Betting heavily on the money line is a sure fire winner. If you have a team riding a line of -500, then their chances of losing are virtually zero. So, why not put down a $500 wager on their success. But you must be nuts to risk $500 in order to win just £10. That’s not a value bet. And it’s a strategy that ensures that sports bookmakers continue to rake in the cash.
The Heavy Favorite Moneyline
As a basic rule of betting, you never bet more than you stand to gain. It’s just not worth the risk. In fact that’s the classic symptom of a low value sports bet.By their nature, most sports are completely unpredictable. No where will you find advice that recommends that high risk and low reward are a good combination. They’re not! For example, if you bet on a team whose odds are at -600, you’re risking $600 in order to make $100. Now even if you happen to lose just one out of the six, you’re going to be down. Many experienced sports bettors know that sporting upsets happen much more frequently than the general public thinks they do.
One thing to always keep in mind if you think a bet is a sure thing: if it seems too good to be true, then you can bet your bottom dollar that the sports bookmaker will be trying to get one over you. Hitting the best sports betting jackpots isn’t that easy. They will play on your inherent bias as both a sports fan and as a gambler. If you think you’ll be pulling one over them, you can be sure that the actual opposite is taking place. With these bad value bets on the favorites, you’ll feel great getting some early wins. But as a long term gambling strategy, it can only end one way….in disaster for you. This strategy is unsustainable. You should, in fact, be going in the opposite direction. Start looking at the underdogs.
Underdogs Have Value
Yes, we know that betting on moneyline underdogs might feel super risky. But that’s really just a reverse of the same insincere positive feeling you get when punting on the favorites. But that’s exactly what the odds makers want you to think. After doing a lot of research, you should always look for value by betting on the underdog.
In fact we would suggest that it’s the only way to be profitable in the long run. If you’re serious about being a serious bettor, then you should avoid that feel-good factor that comes from following favorites. It’ll just take one small loss, and your whole bank roll will be gone.
Parlays Most of the Time
Everyone love a good parlay bet. But the sad reality of them is that they rarely represent good value. In fact most of the time, these low value sports bets will look very attractive. But the odds will be sky high against you. It’s important to keep in mind that though the idea of winning two bets seems relatively easy, it really isn’t. Most gamblers only win 45% or less of their bets. and that’s why trying to win two will be a challenge. The real problem is the disconnect between your head and the numbers on the betting slip. All those payouts for such a small risk. A quick calculation and you’ll be thinking that your bank roll can go a lot further….so why not add some more games? And here we have the main reason why parlays are so popular with sports bettors. But more importantly with bookmakers!
The thing is, even if you happen to win both your bets, the bookmaker will move the scales towards their own favor before paying you out. Here’s the thing, as a standard rule, if you have less than 4 games in your parlay, then you’re getting less value from the house than you should be getting. And that’s why, ladies and gentlemen, you should not include parlays as a part of your betting strategy.
Not A Viable Strategy
Yes, we know that if you’re sensible and only wager low bets and keep at least 4 legs in the parlay, then you can have some success. But we would argue that this is not a viable long term strategy. So, the next time you’re thinking about doubling up two bets as a parlay in order to get a bonus payout, think again. If you parlay them and lose one, then you can wave goodbye to your whole wager. If you play them both separately and lose one, then all is not lost, as you’re only going to be down the juice on that particular game. And if you were to win both bets, then you’re in for a nice pay out.
Parlays are an entertaining bet. They are the classic low value sports bet. The bookmakers love to see them made. And that’s because it’s good for them. If you play parlays, you’ll eventually lose your bank roll. We suggest that if you want to bet on two games, then simply place separate bets. At least with this, your wins should almost cover your losses.
Low value Sports Bets: Buying Points
In the betting game you always should keep your eyes open for good deals. And then avoid them! Any low value sports bet might look good in the short term. But keep in mind that a good deal at the sports book or at the casino is not going to be a good deal for you! It’s for the establishment at hand. No one is going to do you a favor. In reality, these deals actually work against the gambler. And they are blissfully unaware of the fact. Buying points is a classic example.
Buying points is a sure fire way of driving down the value of a win. And you were probably going to win it anyway. In reality, most games don’t end on a point or two on the spread. Most of your wins will easily cover and your losses will not even come close. If you find yourself looking at a game and thinking of having, say, an extra point and a half would make you feel more comfortable, you should be aware that lowering the value is not the right direction to go in.
To be blunt, if you don’t like the spread on offer, then don’t bet on that game. If you buy even half of a point, then you’ve driven down your winnings, all the while increasing you risk. And it’ll have zero impact on whether you win or lose the bet. It’s like being offered insurance at the blackjack table. It not worth it, as it hardly ever comes into play.
Conclusion: Low Value Sports Bets
Sports betting is complicated enough. But, if you keep your wits about you, you can still have a successful time and win the jackpot online. You can even hit Remember to take a long tern approach and try and avoid any short term gains with high probable risk attached. You should always be on the look out for value bets. In fact, if you constantly make high value bets then you’ll end up a winner. Keep in mind that sport bookmakers know exactly how to get people to part with their money. So if you see an easy in your face win, assume that there’s a sports book behind it with an agenda. All those enticing low value sports bets. So when the house want’s you to do one thing, then you should be looking in the opposite direction. As that’s where the value will be lurking.
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