Blackjack Dealer Percentages

Now, you need to follow this strategy to the tee, but if you do so, then the house edge will fall to the absolute minimum of around 0.5%. Using basic strategy all your decisions, whether to stand, hit or double-down, will all be based on the dealer’s up card and those in your own hand. At this point, you’re probably wondering about the percentages of times the dealer will go bust based solely on his own up card. We call this the blackjack dealer percentages. Well, let’s have a look at them.

The Blackjack Dealer Percentages: Chances of Going Bust

Now the blackjack dealer will go bust more often with certain cards than with others. If you look at the chart we have made, you’ll see that the worst cards for the dealer are the 5 and the 6. This is closely followed by the 4. So when the dealer is showing a 5 or a 6, then they have a 42% chance of going bust. If they’re showing a four, then their chance of busting is 40%. And that’s the main reason you should always double-down if the dealer’s cards are a 4, 5 or a 6. The blackjack dealer percentages of going bust look as follows:

The Blackjack Dealer Percentages Of Going Bust Chart

Dealer Card   2          3          4          5          6          7          8          9        10
Ace
Bust %          35%     37%     40%    42%    42%     26%    24%    23%    23%     17%

If the dealer has an Ace, 10, or a 9, then with these cards he’s the least likely to bust. But keep in mind that if the blackjack dealer is showing these cards, he also has another advantage. That’s because the player has to play first. If we look at basic strategy, we’ll see that if you, the player, has a hand of less than 17, then you’ll be needing to take the hit if the dealer is showing a 7, 8, 9, 10 or an Ace. Remember that if the player goes bust, you will lose the hand if the dealer goes bust as well. That’s one reason why the percentage of times the house wins is greater than the blackjack dealer percentages of going bust that we can see on the chart.

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The Blackjack Dealer: Play Correctly

When the blackjack dealer is showing a card that’ll allow you to double-down, then you have a much better chance of making money. But, as we’ve previously stated, you must follow the rules of basic strategy. For example, many players will double-down with a hand of 7 or 8 if the dealer has an upcard of 5 or 6. But this is incorrect gameplay according to basic strategy. In this case, even though the dealer will go bust 42% of the time, you’ll end up losing more money.

Remain Calm and Logical

Now that you know the blackjack dealer percentages for going bust, it’ll help you make more logical decisions during the game. We suggest that you memorize the chart. Then if you’re unsure of the correct plays, you can simply recall this chart. And though the house edge in blackjack is already one of the lowest in the casino, it’s always good to go even lower. By using this chart, you’ll always be playing blackjack with the lowest house edge. However, at the online jackpot sites, you must also pay attention to other aspects to succeed against the house.

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